The biggest riot has started in Delhi. The Election Commission has sounded the alarm for the Delhi Assembly elections. Voting for the Delhi Assembly elections will be held on February 5 and the results will be announced on February 8. January 17 is the last date for filing nominations, so candidates can withdraw their names by January 20. There is every possibility of a triangular contest between the Aam Aadmi Party, BJP and Congress regarding the Delhi election riots.
Personal attacks by BJP leaders on Aam Aadmi Party leaders in Delhi are continuously increasing. Such personal attacks can harm the BJP before the elections. Political attacks on Arvind Kejriwal’s ‘Sheesh Mahal’ are fine, but targeting his family, making low-level personal attacks on Chief Minister Atishi can cost the BJP dearly. By personally attacking Atishi, BJP candidate Ramesh Bidhuri from Kalkaji has almost ended his chances of winning. No matter how strong a leader he is and has been a three-time MP, the way he told Atishi that she had changed her father when she changed her surname from Marlena to Singh has caused a big loss. That is why Congress candidate Alka Lamba has started saying that the fight in Kalkaji seat is Atishi vs Alka Lamba. However, it is not like that, Atishi’s fight will be with Bidhuri and Bidhuri will be the loser. Atishi has taken the lead by shedding tears in the name of her father. Meanwhile, another big BJP leader Yogendra Chandolia also attacked her father and said that he had tried to save Afzal Guru. This too will benefit Atishi. If some Muslim votes are going to go to Congress due to Kejriwal’s politics, then they will also go to Atishi in Kalkaji.
It is worth mentioning here that the kind of speech Prime Minister Narendra Modi gave on January 3 while launching the BJP’s campaign for the 2025 assembly elections brought back memories of his speech given 10 years ago. 10 years ago in January 2015, while launching the BJP’s campaign for the Delhi assembly elections, Modi had given a speech at Ramlila Maidan and had launched a major attack on Kejriwal. Just as he has now called the Aam Aadmi Party government a ‘disaster government’, in the same way he had called Kejriwal a Naxalite in his first speech in 2015. Everyone knows the result of that election. The BJP had won only 3 seats in the 70-member assembly, whereas in the previous elections i.e. December 2013 elections, the BJP had become the largest party by winning 32 seats and Kejriwal’s party had won 28 and Congress 8 seats.
This time too, the Prime Minister’s target is only on the Aam Aadmi Party and Kejriwal. They did not include Congress in any number, while Congress has become the main opposition party in the Lok Sabha after 10 years and is contesting the elections with great strength in Delhi. An opportunity will arise for BJP in Delhi when Congress enters the fray. If Congress’s vote share is in double digits, then BJP can win, but this will happen only when it seems that Congress is also fighting. From the Prime Minister’s first speech, it did not seem that Congress is in the fray in Delhi. Let us see what strategy BJP adopts next?
Sikh voters in Delhi will also influence the elections
This time there is a fierce competition for Sikh voters in the Delhi assembly elections. Both BJP and Aam Aadmi Party are using different tactics to attract Sikh voters. From PM Modi to Home Minister Amit Shah, Sikh voters are in the fray to bring them in favor of BJP. Along with this, Aam Aadmi Party coordinator Arvind Kejriwal is also adopting various tactics to woo Sikh voters. All three political parties of Delhi have come into the fray with full force for Sikh voters.
For the last few years, Delhi’s political parties used to make a lot of efforts to attract the eastern voters. However, in this election, both BJP and Aam Aadmi Party have started wooing Sikh voters. According to experts, this time the vote of the Sikh community can prove decisive for both BJP and Aam Aadmi Party to reach power in Delhi. Because the Sikh community plays a decisive role in about 15-20 seats of the Delhi Assembly.
According to the data of the Delhi Election Commission, about 12% of the votes in Delhi belong to Sikhs. Sikh voters are proving effective in more than a dozen seats in Delhi. Especially in seats like Rajinder Nagar, Rajouri Garden, Tilak Nagar, Janakpuri, Moti Nagar, Shahdara, Gandhi Nagar, Chandni Chowk and Greater Kailash, Sikh and Punjabi voters are proving to be more influential. Apart from this, the role of Sikh voters is decisive in the victory or defeat of many seats in East Delhi.
There was a time in Delhi when Congress dominated the Sikh vote. But after the 1984 Sikh riots, this vote bank of Congress gradually went towards BJP and Akali Dal. However, since 2014, Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party has attracted the Sikh vote bank. Kejriwal’s magic worked so much in the Sikh vote that the Aam Aadmi Party government was formed in Punjab as well. But gradually the trend of Sikh voters is once again seen moving towards BJP.
Although a large portion of Sikh voters are still with Aam Aadmi Party. Perhaps this is why many leaders and former MLAs of BJP and Congress have recently joined AAP. Jatinder Singh Shanti, who became AAP’s candidate from Shahdara, and Surinderpal Singh Bittu have been linked to it.
Going. There are two Sikh MLAs of Aam Aadmi Party in the Delhi Assembly. Jarnail Singh from Tilak Nagar and Prahlad Singh Sahni from Chandni Chowk are included. But in the year 2015, four Sikh MLAs of AAP had won. Perhaps keeping this in mind, this time AAP has given tickets to many Sikh leaders. Talking about Sikh voters in Delhi, there are about 10 lakh Sikh voters in Delhi. The number of Sikhs is good in Kalkaji, Rajinder Nagar, Rajouri Garden, Tilak Nagar, Janakpuri, Moti Nagar, Shahdara, Gandhi Nagar, Chandni Chowk, Greater Kailash and Hari Nagar seats.
According to C Voter, which party is likely to win
C Voter says that the Aam Aadmi Party government can return to power in Delhi. This means that AAP can come to power in Delhi for the third time. C Voter founder Yashwant Deshmukh said this in an interview given to News Tak channel. News Talk spoke to Yashwant Deshmukh about C Voter’s election tracker.
According to Yashwant Deshmukh and C Voter, 49 percent of Delhi voters want to bring back AAP. While 46 percent of voters want to change the government in Delhi. This means that overall AAP has gained 3%. But there is still a lot of time left for voting. So nothing can be said about the picture ahead. Yashwant Deshmukh says that the number of people who want the government to return has declined by 10 percent. One analysis of this is that AAP may form the government but its seats may decrease. Thus, whenever AAP returns to power in Delhi, it will remain weak.
Even if the government is formed in this way, AAP chief Arvind Kejriwal will have to face the challenge of saving the government. Yashwant says that those who want change in Delhi are not just BJP voters, a small portion of them are also Congress voters, due to which the gap between BJP and AAP may widen.
Both AAP and BJP had taken the initiative to continue the fight against each other in the Delhi elections under their respective strategies. But despite all its weaknesses, Congress still remains a factor in Delhi. No doubt, both AAP and BJP have kept it away from their direct fight but election after election, Congress is getting votes in Delhi, albeit in minority. Yashwant Deshmukh, founder of C Voter, admitted that Congress can hurt AAP in Delhi.
In the 2020 assembly elections, Congress got 4% votes while in the 2022 Delhi Municipal Corporation elections, Congress got 10% votes. What is the status of such voters now, the decision will be seen soon. “C Voter says that among male voters, BJP is giving a tough fight to Kejriwal’s party ‘AAP’, but among female voters, ‘AAP’ is dominant and BJP is far behind.” Women’s votes can be decisive.
-C Voter says that people still consider Arvind Kejriwal to be the best CM. According to the C Voter report, about 47 percent people consider Kejriwal to be the best CM. Obviously, these people can vote for you again. This is the reason why ‘AAP’ is gaining ground on BJP in Delhi. It is surprising that BJP, which calls itself the largest party in the country, could not present any CM face for Delhi. Similarly, the oldest party of the country, Congress, could not provide any face. However, Kejriwal himself took the initiative on Saturday and declared BJP candidate Ramesh Bidhuri from Kalkaji as the CM candidate. But no announcement has been made by BJP in this regard. Voting for the 70-member Delhi Assembly will be held in a single phase on February 5.
AAP raises new issues every day. BJP only responds to them or makes allegations. AAP is dominating the election campaign. AAP is more active on social media. In the information that many YouTubers are presenting from the field, they are telling that in many assembly constituencies, BJP posters have not been put up yet. There is no news about Congress either. This shows that you are dominating this election.
